Hercules Capital Stock Performance

HTGC Stock  USD 18.68  0.15  0.81%   
Hercules Capital has a performance score of 9 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.15, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Hercules Capital's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Hercules Capital is expected to be smaller as well. Hercules Capital right now retains a risk of 0.98%. Please check out Hercules Capital expected short fall, day median price, and the relationship between the potential upside and accumulation distribution , to decide if Hercules Capital will be following its current trending patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Hercules Capital are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather weak technical and fundamental indicators, Hercules Capital may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.83)
Five Day Return
(0.43)
Year To Date Return
(1.75)
Ten Year Return
70.16
All Time Return
42.98
Forward Dividend Yield
0.1006
Payout Ratio
1.1111
Forward Dividend Rate
1.88
Dividend Date
2025-11-19
Ex Dividend Date
2025-11-12
1
Is Hercules Plcs Recent Stock Performance Tethered To Its Strong Fundamentals
11/06/2025
 
Hercules Capital dividend paid on 19th of November 2025
11/19/2025
2
Foundations Investment Advisors LLC Has 460,000 Holdings in Hercules Capital, Inc. HTGC
11/20/2025
3
Hercules Pharmaceuticals Appoints Ali Ahmed as Chief Commercial Officer
12/15/2025
4
Hercules Capital Increases Despite Market Slip Heres What You Need to Know
12/26/2025
5
Tectonic Advisors LLC Raises Stake in Hercules Capital, Inc. HTGC - MarketBeat
01/02/2026
6
Hercules Capital Stock Declines While Market Improves Some Information for Investors
01/06/2026
7
Acquisition by Scott Bluestein of 298794 shares of Hercules Capital at 18.24 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/08/2026
8
Disposition of 50081 shares by Scott Bluestein of Hercules Capital at 18.59 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/09/2026
9
Hercules Capital Rises As Market Takes a Dip Key Facts
01/14/2026
10
Biotech enGene secures 125M to advance bladder cancer treatment detalimogene - Stock Titan
01/20/2026
11
Is Hercules Capital Attractively Priced After Recent Share Price Pullback
01/27/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow116 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-705 K

Hercules Capital Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,741  in Hercules Capital on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  127.00  from holding Hercules Capital or generate 7.29% return on investment over 90 days. Hercules Capital is currently generating 0.1184% in daily expected returns and assumes 0.9829% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 8% of stocks are less volatile than Hercules, and 98% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Hercules Capital is expected to generate 1.33 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.33 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Hercules Capital Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Hercules Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 18.68 90 days 18.68 
about 23.9
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hercules Capital to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 23.9 (This Hercules Capital probability density function shows the probability of Hercules Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Hercules Capital has a beta of 0.15. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Hercules Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hercules Capital will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hercules Capital has an alpha of 0.1126, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Hercules Capital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hercules Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hercules Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.7018.6819.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.6719.6520.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.4018.3819.36
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
19.0320.9223.22
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hercules Capital. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hercules Capital's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hercules Capital's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hercules Capital.

Hercules Capital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hercules Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hercules Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hercules Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hercules Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.15
σ
Overall volatility
0.62
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Hercules Capital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hercules Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hercules Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hercules Capital currently holds about 115.31 M in cash with (118.09 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.92.
Hercules Capital has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Is Hercules Capital Attractively Priced After Recent Share Price Pullback

Hercules Capital Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hercules Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hercules Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hercules Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding161.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments113.1 M

Hercules Capital Fundamentals Growth

Hercules Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Hercules Capital, and Hercules Capital fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Hercules Stock performance.

About Hercules Capital Performance

By analyzing Hercules Capital's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Hercules Capital's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Hercules Capital has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Hercules Capital has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.06  0.04 
Return On Capital Employed 0.06  0.04 
Return On Assets 0.06  0.04 
Return On Equity 0.12  0.07 

Things to note about Hercules Capital performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hercules Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Hercules Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hercules Capital currently holds about 115.31 M in cash with (118.09 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.92.
Hercules Capital has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Is Hercules Capital Attractively Priced After Recent Share Price Pullback
Evaluating Hercules Capital's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Hercules Capital's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Hercules Capital's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Hercules Capital's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Hercules Capital's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Hercules Capital's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Hercules Capital's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Hercules Capital's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Hercules Capital's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Hercules Capital's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Hercules Capital's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Hercules Stock analysis

When running Hercules Capital's price analysis, check to measure Hercules Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hercules Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Hercules Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hercules Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hercules Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hercules Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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